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Prognostic Model for Predicting the Risk of Symptomatic Venous Thromboembolism in Children and Adolescents with Lymphoma

D. Evstratov1, N. Myakova1, P. Zharkov2

1Dmitry Rogachev National Medical Research Center of Pediatric Hematology, Oncology and Immunology, Moscow, Moskva, Russia, 2Dmitry Rogachev National Research Center of Pediatric Hematology, Oncology and Immunology, Moscow, Moskva, Russia

Abstract Number: OC 60.4

Meeting: ISTH 2022 Congress

Theme: Venous Thromboembolism » VTE Diagnosis

Background: Pediatric patients with lymphoma are in the higher risk of symptomatic venous thromboembolism (sVTE) compared with patients with other malignancies except acute lymphoblastic leukemia.

Aims: To evaluate pediatric lymphoma patients with high risk of sVTE.

Methods: Our study is a monocentric retrospective analysis of 262 patients aged < 18 years with lymphoma that were treated in our Center since 2013 to 2019 year. Chi-square test has been used for comparison of qualitative variables, Mann-Whitney test - for comparison of quantitative variables. Risk factors were analyzed by univariate and multivariate analysis with logistic regression. ROC-analysis was used for the determination of optimal cutoff. P-value < 0.05 was considered as significant.

Results: In an univariate analysis such factors as age (12.1±4.2 years vs 10.3±4.7 years; p=0.009) with optimal cut-off 12 years, non-O blood group (10.3%, 95%CI: 5.8-14.8% vs 3.4%, 95%CI: 0-7.2%; p=0.084), the volume of mediastinal mass (OR=1.075; 95%CI: 1.01–1.143, р=0.02 for every 100 ml increment) with the optimal cutoff 250 ml, mean body mass index (BMI, 20.7±5.1 vs 17.9±3.8 kg/m2, p=0.005) with optimal cutoff 18 kg/m2 and ICU admittance during the first 30 days of hospitalization (ICU+) due to life-threatening condition (OR=3.96; 95%CI: 1.396–11.252, р=0.01) were statistically significant associated with sVTE risk and subsequently included in the multivariate model (table 1).

The optimal cutoff for “high risk group of sVTE” was ≥11 points. The cumulative incidence of sVTE in “high risk” and “standard risk” groups are presented in the figure 1.

Conclusion(s): The model developed in our Center allows to stratify pediatric patients with lymphoma in “high risk group of sVTE”.

To cite this abstract in AMA style:

Evstratov D, Myakova N, Zharkov P. Prognostic Model for Predicting the Risk of Symptomatic Venous Thromboembolism in Children and Adolescents with Lymphoma [abstract]. https://abstracts.isth.org/abstract/prognostic-model-for-predicting-the-risk-of-symptomatic-venous-thromboembolism-in-children-and-adolescents-with-lymphoma/. Accessed October 2, 2023.

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